Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Северная Америка 2-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Arkosh Gamingloss 1:2series probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 1:2
D2 Hustlerswin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Arkosh Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
D2 Hustlers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
443 picks · 989 bans
Void Spirit
425 picks · 584 bans
Death Prophet
366 picks · 699 bans
Mars
348 picks · 612 bans
Earth Spirit
324 picks · 307 bans
Grimstroke
293 picks · 259 bans
Tusk
291 picks · 184 bans
Phoenix
282 picks · 397 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 75%
Hero pool strength50% Arkosh Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% D2 Hustlers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteD2 Hustlers · 74%
Series resultD2 Hustlers 1:2
Series predictioncorrect