Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Европа 2-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Level UPwin 2:0series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Into The Breachloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Level UP
Dark Seeroften banned
Mastermind · 2 games
Outworld Destroyeroften banned
Bor@nija · 2 games
Dark Willow
Bor@nija · 1 game
Marsoften banned
Bor@nija · 1 game
Mirana
Mastermind · 1 game
Phoenixoften banned
Bor@nija · 1 game
Sand Kingoften banned
Bor@nija · 1 game
Slardaroften banned
Mastermind · 1 game
Into The Breach
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
447 picks · 985 bans
Void Spirit
427 picks · 588 bans
Death Prophet
370 picks · 697 bans
Mars
351 picks · 607 bans
Earth Spirit
326 picks · 303 bans
Grimstroke
289 picks · 257 bans
Tusk
289 picks · 183 bans
Phoenix
282 picks · 397 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)27% vs 55%
Hero pool strength57% Into The Breach
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% Into The Breach
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct12:29
Level UP 33%Into The Breach 67%
The model gave 67% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Into The Breach in 34:17.
Game 2prediction correct15:26
Level UP 33%Into The Breach 67%
The model gave 67% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Into The Breach in 29:40.
Model check result
Model favoriteInto The Breach · 67%
Series resultLevel UP 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2