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Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Китай 2-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Team MagMawin 2:0
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Dragonloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team MagMa

No games played over 6 months.

Dragon

Mars
Marsoften banned
ghost · 3 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
ghost · 3 games
0%
Legion Commander
Legion Commanderoften banned
ghost · 2 games
50%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
ghost · 2 games
50%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
斗圣 · 2 games
0%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
ghost · 2 games
50%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
ghost · 2 games
50%
Tusk
Tusk
斗圣 · 2 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
451 picks · 986 bans
52%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
428 picks · 589 bans
53%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
371 picks · 696 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
351 picks · 609 bans
53%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
327 picks · 302 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
289 picks · 183 bans
52%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
288 picks · 256 bans
45%
Phoenix
Phoenix
283 picks · 394 bans
60%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 44%
Hero pool strength52% Team MagMa
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Dragon
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteDragon · 52%
Series resultTeam MagMa 2:0
Series predictionmissed