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PGL Wallachia Season 7. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
HULIGANIwin 2:0
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:0
hAze clanloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Mars
Marsoften banned
Bb3px · 43 games
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Bb3px · 39 games
69%
Chen
Chensignature
RESPECT · 35 games
63%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
slimeyao · 33 games
70%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
slimeyao · 33 games
67%
Snapfire
Snapfire
RESPECT · 32 games
53%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
slimeyao · 31 game
55%
Tusk
Tusk
slimeyao · 31 game
58%

hAze clan

Disruptor
Disruptor
SoNNeikO · 2 games
100%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Malik · 2 games
50%
Tusk
Tusk
not me · 2 games
50%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
hAze · 1 game
0%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
not me · 1 game
100%
Dazzle
Dazzle
SoNNeikO · 1 game
0%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
hAze · 1 game
0%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
hAze · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
551 picks · 907 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
527 picks · 401 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
482 picks · 651 bans
48%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
479 picks · 611 bans
57%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
410 picks · 868 bans
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
375 picks · 606 bans
59%
Mars
Mars
360 picks · 499 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
358 picks · 213 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 60%
Hero pool strength57% HULIGANI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:20
HULIGANI 56%hAze clan 44%
The model gave 56% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 42:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
Lunav1olent-
42% · 33 games52% · 116 games
Phantom AssassinTA2000
Phantom Assassin
Largo
LargoBb3px
67% · 10 games51% · 85 games
Dark SeerMalik
Dark Seer
Tiny
Tinyxn丶e
46% · 452 games50% · 213 games
PuckhAze
Puck
Chen
ChenRESPECT
59% · 201 game48% · 267 games
WarlockSoNNeikO
Warlock
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mageslimeyao
50% · 96 games45% · 111 games
Bounty Hunternot me
Bounty Hunter
Game 2prediction correct38:30
HULIGANI 55%hAze clan 45%
The model gave 55% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 1:00:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinv1olent-
50% · 290 games41% · 75 games
WeaverTA2000
Weaver
Tiny
Tinyxn丶e
55% · 475 games53% · 299 games
PuckhAze
Puck
Tidehunter
TidehunterBb3px
54% · 291 game52% · 126 games
UnderlordMalik
Underlord
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MageRESPECT
44% · 190 games45% · 372 games
Tusknot me
Tusk
Viper
Viperslimeyao
56% · 89 games48% · 463 games
JakiroSoNNeikO
Jakiro
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 58%
Series resultHULIGANI 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2