?
arrow_backBack to match
Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Южная Америка 2-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Gorillaz-Prideloss 1:2
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 1:2
King Of Kingswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gorillaz-Pride

Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Cara · 5 games
40%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Benjaz · 5 games
60%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
d1smar · 4 games
25%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Cara · 4 games
50%
Puck
Puckoften banned
TaO · 4 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
d1smar · 4 games
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Benjaz · 3 games
33%
Tusk
Tusk
d1smar · 3 games
33%

King Of Kings

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
447 picks · 979 bans
53%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
426 picks · 588 bans
53%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
368 picks · 691 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
351 picks · 602 bans
54%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
321 picks · 294 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
286 picks · 180 bans
51%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
277 picks · 241 bans
43%
Phoenix
Phoenix
276 picks · 387 bans
61%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 40%
Hero pool strength51% King Of Kings
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Gorillaz-Pride
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:11
Gorillaz-Pride 58%King Of Kings 42%
The model gave 58% on Gorillaz-Pride — the game was taken by Gorillaz-Pride in 32:28.
Game 2prediction missed29:38
Gorillaz-Pride 58%King Of Kings 42%
The model gave 58% on Gorillaz-Pride — the game was taken by King Of Kings in 45:58.
Game 3prediction missed8:20
Gorillaz-Pride 58%King Of Kings 42%
The model gave 58% on Gorillaz-Pride — the game was taken by King Of Kings in 33:24.
Model check result
Model favoriteGorillaz-Pride · 58%
Series resultKing Of Kings 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3