Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Европа 2-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Hippomaniacsloss 0:2series probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 0:2
No Bounty Hunterwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hippomaniacs
Kunkkaoften banned
Supream^ · 1 game
Storm Spiritoften banned
Supream^ · 1 game
No Bounty Hunter
Rubick
ntakii · 16 games
Earth Spiritsignature
dEsire · 13 games
Puckoften banned
ntakii · 13 games
Grimstrokesignature
Flash · 11 games
Death Prophetsignature
BliNcc · 8 games
Bloodseekersignature
BliNcc · 7 games
Lycanoften banned
kAAN · 7 games
Void Spiritoften banned
ntakii · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
434 picks · 948 bans
Void Spirit
408 picks · 582 bans
Death Prophet
361 picks · 670 bans
Mars
334 picks · 585 bans
Earth Spirit
306 picks · 274 bans
Tusk
270 picks · 179 bans
Phoenix
260 picks · 379 bans
Grimstroke
253 picks · 219 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)23% vs 46%
Hero pool strength57% No Bounty Hunter
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total74% No Bounty Hunter
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:31
Hippomaniacs 26%No Bounty Hunter 74%
The model gave 74% on No Bounty Hunter — the game was taken by No Bounty Hunter in 35:03.
Game 2prediction correct3:28
Hippomaniacs 26%No Bounty Hunter 74%
The model gave 74% on No Bounty Hunter — the game was taken by No Bounty Hunter in 18:18.
Model check result
Model favoriteNo Bounty Hunter · 74%
Series resultNo Bounty Hunter 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2