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Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Brameloss 0:2
series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 0:2
ViKin.ggwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Brame

Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
CTOMAHEH1 · 15 games
47%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
SsaSpartan · 13 games
38%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
SkyLark · 12 games
67%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
SkyLark · 10 games
70%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 9 games
78%
Oracle
Oracleoften banned
SsaSpartan · 9 games
44%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
W1sh- · 8 games
50%
Juggernaut
Juggernautsignature
Focus · 8 games
75%

ViKin.gg

Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 14 games
71%
Puck
Puckoften banned
BOOM · 11 games
55%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Aramis · 9 games
22%
Earthshaker
Earthshakersignature
Aramis · 9 games
78%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
BOOM · 9 games
78%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Seleri · 9 games
67%
Lion
Lionsignature
Aramis · 9 games
67%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
BOOM · 9 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
431 picks · 937 bans
53%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
406 picks · 581 bans
54%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
360 picks · 662 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
334 picks · 581 bans
54%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
306 picks · 270 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
263 picks · 174 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
252 picks · 373 bans
63%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
249 picks · 207 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 67%
Hero pool strength54% ViKin.gg
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total61% ViKin.gg
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct17:34
Brame 45%ViKin.gg 55%
The model gave 55% on ViKin.gg — the game was taken by ViKin.gg in 37:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaFocus
53% · 9 games67% · 8 games
RazorShad
Razor
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightW1sh-
56% · 36 games46% · 32 games
Storm SpiritBOOM
Storm Spirit
Venomancer
VenomancerSkyLark
53% · 7 games45% · 28 games
TimbersawKheZu
Timbersaw
Abaddon
AbaddonSsaSpartan
53% · 39 games48% · 36 games
ClockwerkAramis
Clockwerk
Lion
LionCTOMAHEH1
54% · 65 games40% · 52 games
GrimstrokeSeleri
Grimstroke
Game 2prediction correct24:29
Brame 45%ViKin.gg 55%
The model gave 55% on ViKin.gg — the game was taken by ViKin.gg in 45:02.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterFocus
42% · 14 games54% · 14 games
LifestealerShad
Lifestealer
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritW1sh-
46% · 42 games61% · 16 games
RazorKheZu
Razor
Abaddon
AbaddonSkyLark
54% · 27 games48% · 157 games
PuckBOOM
Puck
Lion
LionCTOMAHEH1
47% · 64 games57% · 3 games
TinyAramis
Tiny
Phoenix
PhoenixSsaSpartan
57% · 66 games42% · 23 games
EnchantressSeleri
Enchantress
Model check result
Model favoriteViKin.gg · 61%
Series resultViKin.gg 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2