Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Trident Clanloss 1:2series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:2
V-Gamingwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Trident Clan
No games played over 6 months.
V-Gaming
Lion
ArrOw · 5 games
Marsoften banned
laise · 5 games
Alchemistoften banned
TA2000 · 3 games
Rubick
ArrOw · 3 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Dodren · 3 games
Shadow Shaman
ArrOw · 3 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
hAze · 3 games
Void Spiritoften banned
laise · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
441 picks · 976 bans
Void Spirit
414 picks · 600 bans
Death Prophet
355 picks · 659 bans
Mars
353 picks · 620 bans
Earth Spirit
320 picks · 284 bans
Phoenix
266 picks · 371 bans
Tusk
257 picks · 175 bans
Rubick
254 picks · 167 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 46%
Hero pool strength57% V-Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Trident Clan
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteTrident Clan · 56%
Series resultV-Gaming 1:2
Series predictionmissed