Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionPPatriotswin 2:0
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
TRTeam Reckoningloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Patriots
No games played over 6 months.
Team Reckoning
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
443 picks · 982 bans
Void Spirit
415 picks · 600 bans
Death Prophet
356 picks · 663 bans
Mars
355 picks · 629 bans
Earth Spirit
322 picks · 286 bans
Phoenix
268 picks · 373 bans
Tusk
259 picks · 178 bans
Rubick
256 picks · 167 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Patriots
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% Patriots
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoritePatriots · 50%
Series resultPatriots 2:0
Series predictioncorrect