Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
D2 Hustlerswin 2:0series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:0
PSPecado Squad Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
D2 Hustlers
No games played over 6 months.
Pecado Squad Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
457 picks · 1015 bans
Void Spirit
426 picks · 617 bans
Mars
372 picks · 657 bans
Death Prophet
357 picks · 664 bans
Earth Spirit
335 picks · 291 bans
Phoenix
280 picks · 387 bans
Monkey King
266 picks · 849 bans
Tusk
264 picks · 177 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 71%
Hero pool strength50% D2 Hustlers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Pecado Squad Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoritePecado Squad Gaming · 52%
Series resultD2 Hustlers 2:0
Series predictionmissed