Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Trident Clanloss 0:2series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Empirewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Trident Clan
No games played over 6 months.
Team Empire
Phoenixoften banned
sayuw · 10 games
Death Prophetsignature
Petushara · 8 games
Shadow Shaman
sayuw · 8 games
Earth Spirit
sayuw · 7 games
Wraith Kingsignature
Smiling Knight · 7 games
Clockwerk
sayuw · 5 games
Medusaoften banned
Smiling Knight · 5 games
Disruptor
EcNart · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
464 picks · 1017 bans
Void Spirit
427 picks · 621 bans
Mars
375 picks · 660 bans
Death Prophet
357 picks · 666 bans
Earth Spirit
341 picks · 294 bans
Phoenix
281 picks · 391 bans
Monkey King
271 picks · 853 bans
Tusk
265 picks · 178 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 42%
Hero pool strength52% Team Empire
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Trident Clan
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteTrident Clan · 55%
Series resultTeam Empire 0:2
Series predictionmissed