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i-League 2021 · BO3
result vs prediction
EHOMEwin 2:1
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Royal Never Give Uploss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

EHOME

Tusk
Tusk
xNova · 14 games
57%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Chalice · 13 games
54%
Puck
Pucksignature
Xm · 9 games
67%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Chalice · 7 games
86%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
xNova · 6 games
100%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Frisk · 6 games
50%
Luna
Lunasignature
Frisk · 6 games
100%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Xm · 5 games
40%

Royal Never Give Up

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
462 picks · 1018 bans
52%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
428 picks · 619 bans
53%
Mars
Mars
374 picks · 660 bans
52%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
356 picks · 664 bans
56%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
338 picks · 295 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
281 picks · 388 bans
61%
Monkey King
Monkey King
269 picks · 852 bans
58%
Rubick
Rubick
263 picks · 175 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 63%
Hero pool strength58% EHOME
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% EHOME
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:13
EHOME 63%Royal Never Give Up 37%
The model gave 63% on EHOME — the game was taken by EHOME in 38:08.
Game 2prediction missed26:33
EHOME 63%Royal Never Give Up 37%
The model gave 63% on EHOME — the game was taken by Royal Never Give Up in 45:03.
Game 3prediction correct27:11
EHOME 63%Royal Never Give Up 37%
The model gave 63% on EHOME — the game was taken by EHOME in 24:32.
Model check result
Model favoriteEHOME · 63%
Series resultEHOME 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3