Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingloss 1:2series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Team Uniquewin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nemiga Gaming
Marsoften banned
Ainkrad · 12 games
Ursaoften banned
tatakae · 6 games
Pangolieroften banned
Ainkrad · 5 games
Tusk
Lodine · 5 games
Jakiro
Lodine · 4 games
Naga Sirenoften banned
tatakae · 4 games
Oracleoften banned
Lodine · 4 games
Witch Doctor
Lodine · 4 games
Team Unique
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
462 picks · 1023 bans
Void Spirit
431 picks · 619 bans
Mars
378 picks · 662 bans
Death Prophet
354 picks · 663 bans
Earth Spirit
337 picks · 295 bans
Phoenix
282 picks · 387 bans
Monkey King
269 picks · 853 bans
Rubick
264 picks · 177 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 46%
Hero pool strength50% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 58%
Series resultTeam Unique 1:2
Series predictionmissed