i-League 2021 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team MagMaloss 0:2series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Royal Never Give Upwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team MagMa
No games played over 6 months.
Royal Never Give Up
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
462 picks · 1026 bans
Void Spirit
431 picks · 621 bans
Mars
378 picks · 663 bans
Death Prophet
354 picks · 660 bans
Earth Spirit
340 picks · 293 bans
Phoenix
282 picks · 390 bans
Monkey King
270 picks · 853 bans
Wraith King
265 picks · 439 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 64%
Hero pool strength50% Team MagMa
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% Royal Never Give Up
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteRoyal Never Give Up · 66%
Series resultRoyal Never Give Up 0:2
Series predictioncorrect