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ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021 · BO5
result vs prediction
Evil Geniusesloss 2:3
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:3
Invictus Gamingwin 3:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Evil Geniuses

Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Kingrd · 5 games
80%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Kingrd · 5 games
100%
Puck
Puckoften banned
4dr · 5 games
60%
Witch Doctor
Witch Doctor
KJ · 5 games
80%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
4dr · 4 games
75%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
KJ · 4 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
Thiolicor · 4 games
75%
Tusk
Tusk
Thiolicor · 4 games
50%

Invictus Gaming

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
462 picks · 1021 bans
52%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
428 picks · 620 bans
53%
Mars
Mars
376 picks · 661 bans
52%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
352 picks · 658 bans
56%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
338 picks · 291 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
278 picks · 390 bans
61%
Monkey King
Monkey King
270 picks · 849 bans
57%
Wraith King
Wraith King
265 picks · 437 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)81% vs 69%
Hero pool strength57% Evil Geniuses
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total57% Evil Geniuses
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed27:12
Evil Geniuses 57%Invictus Gaming 43%
The model gave 57% on Evil Geniuses — the game was taken by Invictus Gaming in 31:07.
Game 2prediction missed8:35
Evil Geniuses 57%Invictus Gaming 43%
The model gave 57% on Evil Geniuses — the game was taken by Invictus Gaming in 28:34.
Game 3prediction missed28:30
Evil Geniuses 57%Invictus Gaming 43%
The model gave 57% on Evil Geniuses — the game was taken by Invictus Gaming in 55:53.
Game 4prediction missed25:13
Evil Geniuses 57%Invictus Gaming 43%
The model gave 57% on Evil Geniuses — the game was taken by Invictus Gaming in 40:33.
Game 5prediction missed37:23
Evil Geniuses 57%Invictus Gaming 43%
The model gave 57% on Evil Geniuses — the game was taken by Invictus Gaming in 42:48.
Model check result
Model favoriteEvil Geniuses · 57%
Series resultInvictus Gaming 2:3
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 5