DreamLeague Season 30. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
pre-match predictionseries probability
43%57%
model: form + hero pool + head-to-head
RBRoyal Bear
Before the match the model relies on pure statistics: team form, their hero pool accounting for the patch meta, and head-to-head. Once the draft is known, the prediction is recalculated: hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Execration
Banesignature
cml · 10 games
Terrorbladesignature
Tino- · 8 games
Earth Spiritoften banned
Bob · 7 games
Hoodwink
Shanks · 7 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Bob · 6 games
Pangoliersignature
Bob · 6 games
Snapfire
Bob · 6 games
Doomoften banned
Tino- · 5 games
Royal Bear
Dark Willow
Tims · 2 games
Dragon Knight
Raven · 2 games
Winter Wyvern
xNova · 2 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Raven · 1 game
Clinkzoften banned
Ghost · 1 game
Earth Spiritoften banned
MidOne · 1 game
Windranger
Ghost · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
531 picks · 346 bans
Dark Willow
464 picks · 254 bans
Mirana
413 picks · 184 bans
Winter Wyvern
365 picks · 340 bans
Ember Spirit
341 picks · 521 bans
Windranger
314 picks · 143 bans
Centaur Warrunner
299 picks · 295 bans
Earth Spirit
297 picks · 529 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 60%
Hero pool strength59% Royal Bear
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Royal Bear