ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021 · BO3
result vs prediction
Invictus Gamingwin 2:1series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Vici Gamingloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Vici Gaming
Pangoliersignature
ELeVeN · 14 games
Void Spiritsignature
Ori · 13 games
Shadow Shamansignature
Pyw · 12 games
Marssignature
ELeVeN · 11 games
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 11 games
Grimstroke
Dy · 9 games
Weaveroften banned
poyoyo · 8 games
Earth Spirit
Pyw · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
441 picks · 998 bans
Void Spirit
413 picks · 607 bans
Mars
363 picks · 643 bans
Death Prophet
329 picks · 634 bans
Earth Spirit
327 picks · 279 bans
Rubick
263 picks · 176 bans
Phoenix
261 picks · 372 bans
Wraith King
259 picks · 432 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total50% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:28
Invictus Gaming 50%Vici Gaming 50%
The model gave 50% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 34:57.
Game 2prediction correct35:22
Invictus Gaming 50%Vici Gaming 50%
The model gave 50% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 44:43.
Game 3prediction correct17:29
Invictus Gaming 50%Vici Gaming 50%
The model gave 50% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 37:26.
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 50%
Series resultInvictus Gaming 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game3 of 3