Moon Studio Spring Trophy · BO3
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingloss 0:2series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Yangon Galacticoswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Xtreme Gaming
Death Prophetoften banned
Storm · 3 games
Linaoften banned
Storm · 3 games
Puckoften banned
bLink · 3 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Storm · 3 games
Windranger
Storm · 3 games
Ursaoften banned
Storm · 2 games
Viperoften banned
Storm · 2 games
Batrideroften banned
Storm · 1 game
Yangon Galacticos
Morphlingoften banned
Young PH · 4 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Young PH · 4 games
Anti-Mageoften banned
Young PH · 3 games
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Young PH · 3 games
Rikioften banned
Young PH · 2 games
Slarkoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
Spectreoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
Ursaoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
440 picks · 996 bans
Void Spirit
412 picks · 607 bans
Mars
362 picks · 643 bans
Death Prophet
328 picks · 632 bans
Earth Spirit
326 picks · 278 bans
Rubick
263 picks · 176 bans
Phoenix
259 picks · 372 bans
Wraith King
258 picks · 430 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 43%
Hero pool strength53% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Yangon Galacticos
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteYangon Galacticos · 57%
Series resultYangon Galacticos 0:2
Series predictioncorrect