ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
LGD Gamingwin 2:0series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Allianceloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
LGD Gaming
Pucksignature
NothingToSay · 20 games
Tusksignature
XinQ · 16 games
Void Spiritoften banned
NothingToSay · 14 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
y` · 12 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
NothingToSay · 12 games
Beastmastersignature
Faith_bian · 11 games
Elder Titansignature
y` · 11 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Ame · 11 games
Alliance
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
435 picks · 992 bans
Void Spirit
412 picks · 602 bans
Mars
360 picks · 640 bans
Death Prophet
325 picks · 626 bans
Earth Spirit
320 picks · 277 bans
Rubick
263 picks · 176 bans
Wraith King
258 picks · 425 bans
Phoenix
256 picks · 367 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 50%
Hero pool strength62% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct17:33
LGD Gaming 69%Alliance 31%
The model gave 69% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 40:20.
Game 2prediction correct44:11
LGD Gaming 69%Alliance 31%
The model gave 69% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 32:59.
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 69%
Series resultLGD Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2