ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
Quincy Crewwin 2:0series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Asterloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Quincy Crew
No games played over 6 months.
Team Aster
Pucksignature
White丶Album · 13 games
Abaddon
LaNm · 12 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
LaNm · 12 games
Marssignature
Xxs · 12 games
Queen of Painsignature
White丶Album · 12 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Monet · 9 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
LaNm · 9 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Xxs · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
432 picks · 987 bans
Void Spirit
408 picks · 599 bans
Mars
357 picks · 639 bans
Death Prophet
319 picks · 624 bans
Earth Spirit
319 picks · 275 bans
Rubick
262 picks · 175 bans
Wraith King
257 picks · 425 bans
Phoenix
256 picks · 363 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 62%
Hero pool strength59% Team Aster
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Team Aster
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct15:33
Quincy Crew 47%Team Aster 53%
The model gave 53% on Team Aster — the game was taken by Team Aster in 36:07.
Game 2prediction correct6:27
Quincy Crew 47%Team Aster 53%
The model gave 53% on Team Aster — the game was taken by Team Aster in 22:23.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Aster · 53%
Series resultQuincy Crew 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2