ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
Allianceloss 1:1series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Neon Esportsloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Alliance
No games played over 6 months.
Neon Esports
Pangoliersignature
PlayHard · 10 games
Pucksignature
Yopaj · 10 games
Troll Warlordoften banned
Natsumi · 10 games
Elder Titansignature
Jaunuel · 8 games
Mirana
Skem · 8 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Yopaj · 7 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Skem · 7 games
Tusk
PlayHard · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
432 picks · 987 bans
Void Spirit
408 picks · 599 bans
Mars
357 picks · 639 bans
Death Prophet
319 picks · 624 bans
Earth Spirit
319 picks · 275 bans
Rubick
262 picks · 175 bans
Wraith King
257 picks · 425 bans
Phoenix
256 picks · 363 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 61%
Hero pool strength57% Neon Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Neon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct17:33
Alliance 44%Neon Esports 56%
The model gave 56% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 40:06.
Game 2prediction missed23:23
Alliance 44%Neon Esports 56%
The model gave 56% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Alliance in 40:51.
Model check result
Model favoriteNeon Esports · 56%
Accuracy by game1 of 2