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ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
Vici Gamingloss 1:1
series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 1:1
LGD Gamingloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Vici Gaming

Void Spirit
Void Spiritsignature
Ori · 11 games
64%
Mars
Marssignature
ELeVeN · 10 games
70%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
ELeVeN · 10 games
70%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 10 games
80%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Dy · 9 games
44%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Pyw · 9 games
89%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Pyw · 7 games
29%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Ori · 7 games
57%

LGD Gaming

Puck
Pucksignature
NothingToSay · 18 games
83%
Tusk
Tusksignature
XinQ · 16 games
75%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
NothingToSay · 14 games
50%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
y` · 12 games
58%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
NothingToSay · 12 games
58%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Faith_bian · 11 games
73%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Ame · 11 games
73%
Mars
Marssignature
Faith_bian · 10 games
80%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
432 picks · 987 bans
51%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
408 picks · 599 bans
54%
Mars
Mars
357 picks · 639 bans
52%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
319 picks · 624 bans
56%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
319 picks · 275 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
262 picks · 175 bans
50%
Wraith King
Wraith King
257 picks · 425 bans
56%
Phoenix
Phoenix
256 picks · 363 bans
60%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 63%
Hero pool strength55% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total61% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct11:24
Vici Gaming 42%LGD Gaming 58%
The model gave 58% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 31:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Weaver
Weaverpoyoyo
48% · 48 games49% · 90 games
Troll WarlordAme
Troll Warlord
Void Spirit
Void SpiritOri
50% · 212 games55% · 70 games
Nature's ProphetFaith_bian
Nature's Prophet
Mars
MarsELeVeN
45% · 146 games51% · 192 games
PuckNothingToSay
Puck
Mirana
MiranaPyw
51% · 72 games58% · 57 games
Elder TitanXinQ
Elder Titan
Tusk
TuskDy
44% · 85 games52% · 154 games
Death Prophety`
Death Prophet
Game 2prediction missed18:9
Vici Gaming 44%LGD Gaming 56%
The model gave 56% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 31:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey Kingpoyoyo
56% · 79 games57% · 45 games
TerrorbladeAme
Terrorblade
Void Spirit
Void SpiritOri
49% · 152 games40% · 23 games
VenomancerFaith_bian
Venomancer
Alchemist
AlchemistELeVeN
52% · 46 games45% · 249 games
PuckNothingToSay
Puck
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanPyw
54% · 94 games46% · 39 games
Dark WillowXinQ
Dark Willow
Abaddon
AbaddonDy
49% · 31 game50% · 46 games
Elder Titany`
Elder Titan
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 61%
Accuracy by game1 of 2