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ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
Neon Esportsloss 0:2
series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Vici Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Neon Esports

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
PlayHard · 8 games
88%
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordsignature
Natsumi · 8 games
63%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
Jaunuel · 7 games
71%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Skem · 7 games
100%
Puck
Pucksignature
Yopaj · 7 games
86%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Skem · 6 games
50%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Skem · 6 games
67%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Jaunuel · 5 games
60%

Vici Gaming

Mars
Marssignature
ELeVeN · 9 games
78%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Pyw · 9 games
89%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Dy · 8 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
ELeVeN · 8 games
75%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritsignature
Ori · 8 games
63%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 7 games
86%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Ori · 7 games
57%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Pyw · 6 games
17%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
424 picks · 971 bans
52%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
398 picks · 591 bans
54%
Mars
Mars
349 picks · 631 bans
52%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
310 picks · 271 bans
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
307 picks · 613 bans
55%
Rubick
Rubick
258 picks · 174 bans
50%
Wraith King
Wraith King
251 picks · 417 bans
56%
Phoenix
Phoenix
250 picks · 350 bans
61%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)74% vs 55%
Hero pool strength53% Neon Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Neon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed17:33
Neon Esports 52%Vici Gaming 48%
The model gave 52% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 41:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Weaver
WeaverSkem
52% · 40 games55% · 80 games
Monkey Kingpoyoyo
Monkey King
Puck
PuckYopaj
43% · 217 games50% · 164 games
Void SpiritOri
Void Spirit
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerRapy
45% · 8 games44% · 25 games
UnderlordELeVeN
Underlord
Mirana
MiranaPlayHard
53% · 77 games58% · 49 games
EarthshakerPyw
Earthshaker
Tusk
TuskJaunuel
47% · 68 games51% · 92 games
PhoenixDy
Phoenix
Game 2prediction missed21:29
Neon Esports 53%Vici Gaming 47%
The model gave 53% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 38:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Wraith King
Wraith KingSkem
46% · 111 games55% · 108 games
Monkey Kingpoyoyo
Monkey King
Puck
PuckYopaj
47% · 216 games52% · 186 games
Void SpiritOri
Void Spirit
Venomancer
VenomancerRapy
47% · 28 gameslittle data
NecrophosELeVeN
Necrophos
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenJaunuel
39% · 74 games47% · 133 games
Earth SpiritPyw
Earth Spirit
Tusk
TuskPlayHard
48% · 94 games64% · 96 games
PhoenixDy
Phoenix
Model check result
Model favoriteNeon Esports · 54%
Series resultVici Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2