ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Liquidloss 1:1series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Quincy Crewloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Liquid
Pucksignature
miCKe · 14 games
Earth Spirit
Taiga · 12 games
Crystal Maiden
iNSaNiA · 10 games
Oracleoften banned
iNSaNiA · 7 games
Timbersawsignature
Boxi · 7 games
Void Spiritoften banned
miCKe · 7 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
iNSaNiA · 6 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
Boxi · 5 games
Quincy Crew
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
424 picks · 971 bans
Void Spirit
398 picks · 591 bans
Mars
349 picks · 631 bans
Earth Spirit
310 picks · 271 bans
Death Prophet
307 picks · 613 bans
Rubick
258 picks · 174 bans
Wraith King
251 picks · 417 bans
Phoenix
250 picks · 350 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 67%
Hero pool strength54% Team Liquid
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Quincy Crew
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed47:35
Team Liquid 44%Quincy Crew 56%
The model gave 56% on Quincy Crew — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 1:04:28.
Game 2prediction correct20:27
Team Liquid 44%Quincy Crew 56%
The model gave 56% on Quincy Crew — the game was taken by Quincy Crew in 38:17.
Model check result
Model favoriteQuincy Crew · 56%
Accuracy by game1 of 2