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ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Liquidloss 1:1
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 1:1
LGD Gamingloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Liquid

Puck
Pucksignature
miCKe · 13 games
69%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Taiga · 12 games
50%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
iNSaNiA · 9 games
56%
Oracle
Oracleoften banned
iNSaNiA · 7 games
43%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Boxi · 7 games
71%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
miCKe · 7 games
29%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
iNSaNiA · 6 games
100%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
Boxi · 5 games
60%

LGD Gaming

Puck
Pucksignature
NothingToSay · 15 games
80%
Tusk
Tusksignature
XinQ · 13 games
77%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
NothingToSay · 13 games
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
NothingToSay · 12 games
58%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
y` · 11 games
64%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Ame · 11 games
73%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Faith_bian · 10 games
70%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
XinQ · 8 games
63%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
421 picks · 966 bans
52%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
393 picks · 588 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
347 picks · 627 bans
52%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
306 picks · 271 bans
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
304 picks · 608 bans
56%
Rubick
Rubick
258 picks · 174 bans
50%
Wraith King
Wraith King
250 picks · 416 bans
56%
Monkey King
Monkey King
247 picks · 793 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 67%
Hero pool strength57% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total55% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed38:11
Team Liquid 48%LGD Gaming 52%
The model gave 52% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 32:52.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Io
IomiCKe
55% · 41 gamelittle data
ClinkzAme
Clinkz
Dark Seer
Dark SeerBoxi
52% · 11 games53% · 75 games
MarsNothingToSay
Mars
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritqojqva
43% · 32 gameslittle data
VisageFaith_bian
Visage
Tiny
TinyTaiga
44% · 19 games53% · 50 games
Earth SpiritXinQ
Earth Spirit
Abaddon
AbaddoniNSaNiA
47% · 44 games47% · 22 games
Ancient Apparitiony`
Ancient Apparition
Game 2prediction correct19:33
Team Liquid 47%LGD Gaming 53%
The model gave 53% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 41:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey Kingqojqva
53% · 96 games48% · 77 games
Troll WarlordAme
Troll Warlord
Puck
PuckmiCKe
55% · 174 games47% · 135 games
MarsNothingToSay
Mars
Pangolier
PangolierBoxi
53% · 74 games49% · 43 games
ViperFaith_bian
Viper
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaideniNSaNiA
50% · 59 games49% · 104 games
Earth SpiritXinQ
Earth Spirit
Dark Willow
Dark WillowTaiga
46% · 33 games46% · 77 games
Oracley`
Oracle
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 55%
Accuracy by game1 of 2