ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
Vici Gamingloss 1:1series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Quincy Crewloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Vici Gaming
Shadow Shamansignature
Pyw · 9 games
Marssignature
ELeVeN · 8 games
Pangoliersignature
ELeVeN · 8 games
Grimstroke
Dy · 7 games
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 7 games
Puckoften banned
Ori · 7 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Ori · 7 games
Earth Spirit
Pyw · 6 games
Quincy Crew
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
418 picks · 964 bans
Void Spirit
389 picks · 586 bans
Mars
344 picks · 624 bans
Earth Spirit
305 picks · 270 bans
Death Prophet
300 picks · 608 bans
Rubick
258 picks · 174 bans
Wraith King
248 picks · 414 bans
Phoenix
247 picks · 346 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 69%
Hero pool strength57% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Quincy Crew
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct9:24
Vici Gaming 46%Quincy Crew 54%
The model gave 54% on Quincy Crew — the game was taken by Quincy Crew in 28:35.
Game 2prediction missed44:29
Vici Gaming 46%Quincy Crew 54%
The model gave 54% on Quincy Crew — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 43:39.
Model check result
Model favoriteQuincy Crew · 54%
Accuracy by game1 of 2