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ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
Vici Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Liquidloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Vici Gaming

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Pyw · 9 games
89%
Mars
Marssignature
ELeVeN · 7 games
100%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
ELeVeN · 7 games
71%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Ori · 7 games
57%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Dy · 6 games
50%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 6 games
83%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
ELeVeN · 5 games
40%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Pyw · 5 games
20%

Team Liquid

Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Taiga · 11 games
55%
Puck
Pucksignature
miCKe · 11 games
82%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
iNSaNiA · 7 games
71%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Boxi · 7 games
71%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
iNSaNiA · 6 games
100%
Oracle
Oracleoften banned
iNSaNiA · 6 games
50%
Lone Druid
Lone Druidoften banned
qojqva · 5 games
60%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Boxi · 5 games
40%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
412 picks · 961 bans
52%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
386 picks · 581 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
340 picks · 619 bans
52%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
303 picks · 270 bans
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
299 picks · 603 bans
55%
Rubick
Rubick
257 picks · 173 bans
51%
Wraith King
Wraith King
246 picks · 412 bans
56%
Phoenix
Phoenix
245 picks · 340 bans
60%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 58%
Hero pool strength50% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:13
Vici Gaming 53%Team Liquid 47%
The model gave 53% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 31:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Wraith King
Wraith Kingpoyoyo
55% · 84 games39% · 51 game
BloodseekerBoxi
Bloodseeker
Puck
PuckOri
61% · 174 games51% · 175 games
Void SpiritmiCKe
Void Spirit
Legion Commander
Legion CommanderELeVeN
52% · 21 game47% · 11 games
Venomancerqojqva
Venomancer
Phoenix
PhoenixDy
63% · 97 games35% · 59 games
Crystal MaideniNSaNiA
Crystal Maiden
Tusk
TuskPyw
47% · 69 games42% · 149 games
Earth SpiritTaiga
Earth Spirit
Game 2prediction correct39:23
Vici Gaming 52%Team Liquid 48%
The model gave 52% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 42:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
Terrorbladepoyoyo
50% · 24 gameslittle data
SnapfireBoxi
Snapfire
Pangolier
PangolierELeVeN
48% · 70 gameslittle data
Huskarqojqva
Huskar
Puck
PuckOri
48% · 139 games55% · 154 games
Void SpiritmiCKe
Void Spirit
Elder Titan
Elder TitanPyw
48% · 38 games47% · 55 games
TuskTaiga
Tusk
Luna
LunaDy
61% · 11 games49% · 73 games
OracleiNSaNiA
Oracle
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 53%
Series resultVici Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2