ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
T1win 2:0series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Nigma Galaxyloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
T1
No games played over 6 months.
Nigma Galaxy
Phoenixoften banned
GH · 7 games
Void Spiritsignature
Miracle- · 7 games
Bloodseekersignature
MinD_ContRoL · 6 games
Death Prophetoften banned
w33 · 6 games
Puckoften banned
w33 · 6 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Miracle- · 5 games
Iooften banned
GH · 5 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
w33 · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
411 picks · 960 bans
Void Spirit
385 picks · 581 bans
Mars
339 picks · 619 bans
Earth Spirit
302 picks · 270 bans
Death Prophet
299 picks · 601 bans
Rubick
256 picks · 173 bans
Wraith King
246 picks · 411 bans
Phoenix
244 picks · 340 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 40%
Hero pool strength52% Nigma Galaxy
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% T1
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed14:53
T1 56%Nigma Galaxy 44%
The model gave 56% on T1 — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 27:20.
Game 2prediction missed31:25
T1 56%Nigma Galaxy 44%
The model gave 56% on T1 — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 36:27.
Model check result
Model favoriteT1 · 56%
Series resultT1 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2