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ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
AS Monaco Gambitloss 0:2
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:2
LGD Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

AS Monaco Gambit

Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
xsvampire · 5 games
80%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Blizzy · 5 games
40%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
PuberrrR · 4 games
25%
Phantom Lancer
Phantom Lanceroften banned
xannii · 4 games
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Blizzy · 4 games
50%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Lorenof · 4 games
75%
Mirana
Mirana
xsvampire · 3 games
0%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Lorenof · 3 games
100%

LGD Gaming

Puck
Pucksignature
NothingToSay · 14 games
79%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
NothingToSay · 12 games
58%
Tusk
Tusksignature
XinQ · 11 games
73%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
NothingToSay · 11 games
45%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Ame · 10 games
70%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
y` · 8 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Faith_bian · 8 games
63%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
XinQ · 8 games
63%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
409 picks · 956 bans
52%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
381 picks · 580 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
337 picks · 617 bans
52%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
301 picks · 270 bans
51%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
298 picks · 597 bans
56%
Rubick
Rubick
256 picks · 173 bans
50%
Wraith King
Wraith King
245 picks · 410 bans
56%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light
242 picks · 543 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 62%
Hero pool strength57% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:11
AS Monaco Gambit 47%LGD Gaming 53%
The model gave 53% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 27:57.
Game 2prediction correct18:9
AS Monaco Gambit 47%LGD Gaming 53%
The model gave 53% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 23:02.
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 53%
Series resultLGD Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2