ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
T1loss 0:2series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Liquidwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
T1
No games played over 6 months.
Team Liquid
Pucksignature
miCKe · 10 games
Earth Spirit
Taiga · 9 games
Crystal Maidensignature
iNSaNiA · 6 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
iNSaNiA · 6 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
miCKe · 4 games
Enigmaoften banned
Taiga · 4 games
Lone Druidoften banned
qojqva · 4 games
Marsoften banned
Boxi · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
408 picks · 955 bans
Void Spirit
381 picks · 578 bans
Mars
336 picks · 616 bans
Earth Spirit
300 picks · 269 bans
Death Prophet
298 picks · 595 bans
Rubick
255 picks · 173 bans
Wraith King
245 picks · 410 bans
Keeper of the Light
242 picks · 543 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 59%
Hero pool strength59% Team Liquid
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:4
T1 41%Team Liquid 59%
The model gave 59% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 24:26.
Game 2prediction correct37:11
T1 41%Team Liquid 59%
The model gave 59% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 23:00.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 59%
Series resultTeam Liquid 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2