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ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxyloss 0:2
series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 0:2
AS Monaco Gambitwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nigma Galaxy

Bloodseeker
Bloodseekersignature
MinD_ContRoL · 6 games
67%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
GH · 6 games
50%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritsignature
Miracle- · 6 games
67%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Miracle- · 5 games
40%
Io
Iooften banned
GH · 5 games
40%
Puck
Puckoften banned
w33 · 5 games
40%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
KuroKy · 4 games
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
w33 · 4 games
50%

AS Monaco Gambit

Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
xsvampire · 5 games
80%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Blizzy · 5 games
40%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
PuberrrR · 4 games
25%
Phantom Lancer
Phantom Lanceroften banned
xannii · 4 games
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Blizzy · 4 games
50%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Lorenof · 4 games
75%
Mirana
Mirana
xsvampire · 3 games
0%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Lorenof · 3 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
408 picks · 953 bans
51%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
381 picks · 576 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
336 picks · 616 bans
52%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
298 picks · 269 bans
51%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
297 picks · 594 bans
56%
Rubick
Rubick
255 picks · 173 bans
50%
Wraith King
Wraith King
245 picks · 408 bans
56%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light
242 picks · 542 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% Nigma Galaxy
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% AS Monaco Gambit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:43
Nigma Galaxy 35%AS Monaco Gambit 65%
The model gave 65% on AS Monaco Gambit — the game was taken by AS Monaco Gambit in 43:27.
Game 2prediction correct16:38
Nigma Galaxy 35%AS Monaco Gambit 65%
The model gave 65% on AS Monaco Gambit — the game was taken by AS Monaco Gambit in 37:07.
Model check result
Model favoriteAS Monaco Gambit · 65%
Series resultAS Monaco Gambit 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2