ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
Vici Gamingwin 2:0series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:0
T1loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Vici Gaming
Shadow Shamansignature
Pyw · 8 games
Marssignature
ELeVeN · 6 games
Pangoliersignature
ELeVeN · 6 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Ori · 6 games
Batrideroften banned
ELeVeN · 5 games
Earth Spirit
Pyw · 5 games
Grimstroke
Dy · 5 games
Phoenixoften banned
Dy · 5 games
T1
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
407 picks · 952 bans
Void Spirit
380 picks · 576 bans
Mars
335 picks · 615 bans
Earth Spirit
298 picks · 268 bans
Death Prophet
296 picks · 593 bans
Rubick
255 picks · 173 bans
Wraith King
244 picks · 407 bans
Keeper of the Light
242 picks · 542 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 54%
Hero pool strength55% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:13
Vici Gaming 55%T1 45%
The model gave 55% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 34:52.
Game 2prediction correct37:10
Vici Gaming 55%T1 45%
The model gave 55% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 35:01.
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 55%
Series resultVici Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2