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ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxyloss 0:2
series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 0:2
LGD Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nigma Galaxy

Bloodseeker
Bloodseekersignature
MinD_ContRoL · 6 games
67%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
GH · 6 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Miracle- · 5 games
40%
Puck
Puckoften banned
w33 · 5 games
40%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
KuroKy · 5 games
80%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
KuroKy · 4 games
50%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
GH · 4 games
50%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Miracle- · 4 games
50%

LGD Gaming

Puck
Pucksignature
NothingToSay · 13 games
77%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
NothingToSay · 11 games
55%
Tusk
Tusksignature
XinQ · 11 games
73%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
NothingToSay · 11 games
45%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Ame · 9 games
67%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
y` · 8 games
50%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
XinQ · 8 games
63%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Faith_bian · 7 games
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
406 picks · 951 bans
51%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
379 picks · 576 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
334 picks · 615 bans
52%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
298 picks · 268 bans
51%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
295 picks · 592 bans
56%
Rubick
Rubick
255 picks · 173 bans
50%
Wraith King
Wraith King
244 picks · 407 bans
56%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light
242 picks · 542 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 60%
Hero pool strength54% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:51
Nigma Galaxy 41%LGD Gaming 59%
The model gave 59% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 48:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Weaver
WeaverMiracle-
48% · 27 games53% · 62 games
Monkey KingAme
Monkey King
Death Prophet
Death Prophetw33
53% · 126 games47% · 148 games
PuckNothingToSay
Puck
Tidehunter
TidehunterrmN-
41% · 72 games54% · 101 game
MarsFaith_bian
Mars
Io
IoGH
56% · 40 games51% · 15 games
Dark WillowXinQ
Dark Willow
Lion
LionKuroKy
45% · 70 games65% · 9 games
Lunay`
Luna
Game 2prediction correct18:21
Nigma Galaxy 44%LGD Gaming 56%
The model gave 56% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 31:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
Alchemistw33
61% · 17 games48% · 60 games
Troll WarlordAme
Troll Warlord
Void Spirit
Void SpiritMiracle-
50% · 103 games43% · 41 game
BeastmasterFaith_bian
Beastmaster
Timbersaw
TimbersawKuroKy
54% · 54 games46% · 63 games
Ember SpiritNothingToSay
Ember Spirit
Io
IoGH
53% · 34 games47% · 27 games
Dark WillowXinQ
Dark Willow
Disruptor
DisruptorrmN-
64% · 20 games44% · 37 games
Elder Titany`
Elder Titan
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 66%
Series resultLGD Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2