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ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Liquidwin 2:0
series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 2:0
LGD Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Liquid

Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Taiga · 9 games
56%
Puck
Pucksignature
miCKe · 9 games
78%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
iNSaNiA · 5 games
80%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
iNSaNiA · 5 games
100%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
miCKe · 4 games
75%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
Taiga · 4 games
50%
Lone Druid
Lone Druidoften banned
qojqva · 4 games
75%
Oracle
Oracleoften banned
iNSaNiA · 4 games
50%

LGD Gaming

Puck
Pucksignature
NothingToSay · 13 games
77%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
NothingToSay · 11 games
55%
Tusk
Tusksignature
XinQ · 10 games
80%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Ame · 9 games
67%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
NothingToSay · 9 games
56%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
y` · 8 games
50%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
XinQ · 7 games
71%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Faith_bian · 7 games
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
405 picks · 950 bans
51%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
377 picks · 576 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
333 picks · 614 bans
52%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
298 picks · 266 bans
51%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
295 picks · 590 bans
56%
Rubick
Rubick
255 picks · 173 bans
50%
Wraith King
Wraith King
243 picks · 407 bans
56%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light
241 picks · 541 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 63%
Hero pool strength51% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed32:19
Team Liquid 44%LGD Gaming 56%
The model gave 56% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 32:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bristleback
BristlebackmiCKe
53% · 20 games51% · 32 games
MorphlingAme
Morphling
Visage
Visageqojqva
little data50% · 59 games
Void SpiritNothingToSay
Void Spirit
Sand King
Sand KingBoxi
46% · 19 games40% · 26 games
BeastmasterFaith_bian
Beastmaster
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightiNSaNiA
55% · 88 games45% · 30 games
TuskXinQ
Tusk
Dark Willow
Dark WillowTaiga
54% · 24 games50% · 4 games
Gyrocoptery`
Gyrocopter
Game 2prediction missed40:19
Team Liquid 44%LGD Gaming 56%
The model gave 56% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 40:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Puck
PuckmiCKe
42% · 171 game57% · 114 games
Wraith KingAme
Wraith King
Mars
MarsBoxi
52% · 137 games55% · 200 games
Void SpiritNothingToSay
Void Spirit
Venomancer
Venomancerqojqva
44% · 5 games61% · 29 games
Sand KingFaith_bian
Sand King
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaideniNSaNiA
38% · 59 games51% · 19 games
Dark WillowXinQ
Dark Willow
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinTaiga
57% · 80 games41% · 90 games
Grimstrokey`
Grimstroke
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 60%
Series resultTeam Liquid 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2