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BTS Pro Series Season 5. Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
4 Zoomerswin 2:0
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 2:0
NoPing VPNloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

4 Zoomers

No games played over 6 months.

NoPing VPN

Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Michael · 9 games
56%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
Matthew · 8 games
88%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Oscar · 8 games
63%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
DarkMago · 7 games
57%
Mars
Marssignature
Oscar · 7 games
71%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Matthew · 6 games
83%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Mariano · 6 games
83%
Witch Doctor
Witch Doctor
Accel · 6 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
401 picks · 935 bans
51%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
373 picks · 567 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
326 picks · 606 bans
51%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
291 picks · 575 bans
56%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
289 picks · 261 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
255 picks · 171 bans
50%
Wraith King
Wraith King
241 picks · 407 bans
56%
Phoenix
Phoenix
239 picks · 327 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 57%
Hero pool strength60% NoPing VPN
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total54% NoPing VPN
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteNoPing VPN · 54%
Series result4 Zoomers 2:0
Series predictionmissed