EPIC League Season 3 Division 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Prosti Esliwin 2:0series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Uniqueloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Prosti Esli
No games played over 6 months.
Team Unique
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
401 picks · 930 bans
Void Spirit
373 picks · 561 bans
Mars
325 picks · 598 bans
Death Prophet
291 picks · 565 bans
Earth Spirit
289 picks · 255 bans
Rubick
255 picks · 169 bans
Wraith King
241 picks · 403 bans
Phoenix
239 picks · 324 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 48%
Hero pool strength50% Prosti Esli
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Team Unique
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:5
Prosti Esli 49%Team Unique 51%
The model gave 51% on Team Unique — the game was taken by Prosti Esli in 29:35.
Game 2prediction missed21:3
Prosti Esli 49%Team Unique 51%
The model gave 51% on Team Unique — the game was taken by Prosti Esli in 28:14.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Unique · 51%
Series resultProsti Esli 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2