PGL Wallachia Season 7. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Peru Rejectswin 2:0series probability
91%9%
probability at match start · final 2:0
TRTeam rocket xloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Peru Rejects
Jakirosignature
Elmisho · 15 games
Clockwerk
Scofield · 13 games
Ember Spiritsignature
DarkMago · 13 games
Queen of Painsignature
DarkMago · 13 games
Marsoften banned
DarkMago · 12 games
Snapfire
Michael · 12 games
Batrideroften banned
Michael · 11 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Parker · 11 games
Team rocket x
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
537 picks · 875 bans
Tusk
516 picks · 385 bans
Dragon Knight
478 picks · 637 bans
Centaur Warrunner
460 picks · 595 bans
Shadow Demon
398 picks · 826 bans
Ember Spirit
360 picks · 580 bans
Gyrocopter
346 picks · 570 bans
Mars
346 picks · 483 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% Peru Rejects
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total91% Peru Rejects
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Peru Rejects 91%Team rocket x 9%
The model gave 91% on Peru Rejects — the game was taken by Peru Rejects.
Game 2prediction correct
Peru Rejects 91%Team rocket x 9%
The model gave 91% on Peru Rejects — the game was taken by Peru Rejects.
Model check result
Model favoritePeru Rejects · 91%
Series resultPeru Rejects 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2