Чемпионат России Сбера 2026 по Dota 2 · BO3
result vs prediction22b_teamwin 2:1
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:1
NNoImproveloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
2b_team
Undyingoften banned
Alberkaaa · 3 games
Bane
Hduo · 1 game
Disruptor
Hduo · 1 game
Lich
Hduo · 1 game
Marcioften banned
PERDAN4IK · 1 game
Shadow Shaman
PERDAN4IK · 1 game
Snapfireoften banned
Alberkaaa · 1 game
NoImprove
Slardaroften banned
coldofff · 1 game
Storm Spiritoften banned
coldofff · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
495 picks · 355 bans
Rubick
384 picks · 233 bans
Clockwerk
337 picks · 636 bans
Tiny
336 picks · 346 bans
Windranger
316 picks · 230 bans
Pangolier
298 picks · 396 bans
Bane
294 picks · 283 bans
Storm Spirit
286 picks · 312 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 40%
Hero pool strength55% 2b_team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% 2b_team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
2b_team 62%NoImprove 38%
The model gave 62% on 2b_team — the game was taken by NoImprove.
Game 2prediction correct
2b_team 62%NoImprove 38%
The model gave 62% on 2b_team — the game was taken by 2b_team.
Game 3prediction correct
2b_team 62%NoImprove 38%
The model gave 62% on 2b_team — the game was taken by 2b_team.
Model check result
Model favorite2b_team · 62%
Series result2b_team 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3