EPIC League Season 3 Division 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Brameloss 1:2series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 1:2
ViKin.ggwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Brame
Earth Spirit
CTOMAHEH1 · 14 games
Grimstroke
SsaSpartan · 12 games
Beastmastersignature
SkyLark · 10 games
Dark Seersignature
SkyLark · 9 games
Oracleoften banned
SsaSpartan · 9 games
Clockwerksignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 8 games
Death Prophetoften banned
W1sh- · 8 games
Ursaoften banned
Focus · 8 games
ViKin.gg
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 13 games
Puckoften banned
BOOM · 10 games
Earth Spirit
Aramis · 9 games
Earthshakersignature
Aramis · 9 games
Lionsignature
Aramis · 9 games
Void Spiritoften banned
BOOM · 9 games
Beastmasteroften banned
KheZu · 8 games
Ember Spiritsignature
BOOM · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
393 picks · 875 bans
Void Spirit
366 picks · 526 bans
Mars
318 picks · 572 bans
Death Prophet
283 picks · 506 bans
Earth Spirit
282 picks · 239 bans
Rubick
254 picks · 160 bans
Keeper of the Light
238 picks · 518 bans
Wraith King
237 picks · 386 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 67%
Hero pool strength55% ViKin.gg
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total59% ViKin.gg
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:21
Brame 41%ViKin.gg 59%
The model gave 59% on ViKin.gg — the game was taken by Brame in 33:56.
Game 2prediction correct7:34
Brame 43%ViKin.gg 57%
The model gave 57% on ViKin.gg — the game was taken by ViKin.gg in 31:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MorphlingFocus
Phantom AssassinShad
BristlebackW1sh-
VenomancerKheZu
BeastmasterSkyLark
Ember SpiritBOOM
MiranaCTOMAHEH1
EnchantressSeleri
Elder TitanSsaSpartan
TuskAramis
Game 3prediction correct9:4
Brame 41%ViKin.gg 59%
The model gave 59% on ViKin.gg — the game was taken by ViKin.gg in 52:00.
Model check result
Model favoriteViKin.gg · 59%
Series resultViKin.gg 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3