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BTS Pro Series Season 5. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Latam Defendersloss 0:2
series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The Cutwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Latam Defenders

Mirana
Mirana
Moonlight · 9 games
56%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Moonlight · 7 games
43%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Aretes · 6 games
33%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Valquiria · 6 games
0%
Witch Doctor
Witch Doctor
Aretes · 6 games
33%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Valquiria · 5 games
20%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Valquiria · 5 games
60%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
Aretes · 5 games
60%

The Cut

Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Lil_Nick · 7 games
57%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
TingleK1ng · 3 games
33%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
TingleK1ng · 3 games
100%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 3 games
100%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Lil_Nick · 2 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Lil_Nick · 2 games
100%
Io
Iooften banned
Scourge McDuck · 2 games
50%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 2 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
382 picks · 851 bans
51%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
359 picks · 511 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
310 picks · 557 bans
51%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
277 picks · 489 bans
56%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
275 picks · 237 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
253 picks · 155 bans
50%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light
238 picks · 516 bans
54%
Wraith King
Wraith King
236 picks · 374 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 53%
Hero pool strength59% The Cut
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% The Cut
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe Cut · 68%
Series resultThe Cut 0:2
Series predictioncorrect