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BTS Pro Series Season 5. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Unknownwin 2:0
series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Eternityloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Unknown

Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Wij · 5 games
80%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Yadomi · 5 games
60%
Mars
Marsoften banned
drakeel · 5 games
40%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Berna · 5 games
80%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Wij · 4 games
75%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Robo-Z · 4 games
25%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
drakeel · 3 games
67%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
Wij · 3 games
67%

Eternity

Mirana
Mirana
FrancisLee · 4 games
75%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Ryoya · 4 games
0%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Jubei · 4 games
100%
Witch Doctor
Witch Doctor
Jubei · 4 games
50%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
FrancisLee · 3 games
0%
Juggernaut
Juggernautoften banned
YamSun · 3 games
33%
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld Destroyeroften banned
Ryoya · 3 games
67%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
FrancisLee · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
382 picks · 851 bans
51%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
359 picks · 511 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
310 picks · 557 bans
51%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
277 picks · 489 bans
56%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
275 picks · 237 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
253 picks · 155 bans
50%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light
238 picks · 516 bans
54%
Wraith King
Wraith King
236 picks · 374 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 33%
Hero pool strength56% Team Unknown
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% Team Unknown
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team Unknown 66%Eternity 34%
The model gave 66% on Team Unknown — the game was taken by Team Unknown.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Unknown · 66%
Series resultTeam Unknown 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1