BTS Pro Series Season 5. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
NoPing VPNwin 2:0series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:0
simply TOOBASEDloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
NoPing VPN
Earth Spirit
Michael · 9 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
Matthew · 8 games
Timbersawsignature
Oscar · 8 games
Kunkkaoften banned
DarkMago · 7 games
Marssignature
Oscar · 7 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Matthew · 6 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
Mariano · 6 games
Witch Doctor
Accel · 6 games
simply TOOBASED
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
382 picks · 851 bans
Void Spirit
359 picks · 511 bans
Mars
310 picks · 557 bans
Death Prophet
277 picks · 489 bans
Earth Spirit
275 picks · 237 bans
Rubick
253 picks · 155 bans
Keeper of the Light
238 picks · 516 bans
Wraith King
236 picks · 374 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 59%
Hero pool strength60% NoPing VPN
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% simply TOOBASED
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoritesimply TOOBASED · 53%
Series resultNoPing VPN 2:0
Series predictionmissed