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Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
zxc123qwertyloss 0:1
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 0:1
NoUndyingwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

zxc123qwerty

No games played over 6 months.

NoUndying

Batrider
Batrideroften banned
LastHero- · 9 games
44%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
velheor · 7 games
29%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
BLACKARXANGEL · 6 games
83%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Kodos · 6 games
17%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Kodos · 6 games
50%
Witch Doctor
Witch Doctor
BLACKARXANGEL · 6 games
17%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
BLACKARXANGEL · 5 games
20%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Kodos · 4 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
382 picks · 851 bans
51%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
359 picks · 510 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
310 picks · 555 bans
51%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
277 picks · 486 bans
56%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
275 picks · 236 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
253 picks · 154 bans
50%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light
238 picks · 515 bans
54%
Wraith King
Wraith King
236 picks · 373 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 41%
Hero pool strength54% zxc123qwerty
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% NoUndying
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteNoUndying · 55%
Series resultNoUndying 0:1
Series predictioncorrect