Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Euronics Gamingloss 0:2series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Ghost frogswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Euronics Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Ghost frogs
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
381 picks · 840 bans
Void Spirit
358 picks · 506 bans
Mars
309 picks · 549 bans
Death Prophet
276 picks · 477 bans
Earth Spirit
272 picks · 233 bans
Rubick
252 picks · 154 bans
Keeper of the Light
238 picks · 514 bans
Wraith King
236 picks · 369 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Euronics Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Ghost frogs
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:2
Euronics Gaming 45%Ghost frogs 55%
The model gave 55% on Ghost frogs — the game was taken by Ghost frogs in 21:56.
Game 2prediction correct31:33
Euronics Gaming 45%Ghost frogs 55%
The model gave 55% on Ghost frogs — the game was taken by Ghost frogs in 39:35.
Model check result
Model favoriteGhost frogs · 55%
Series resultGhost frogs 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2