BTS Pro Series Season 5. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Infamouswin 2:0series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Arkosh Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infamous
Tusksignature
Pamplona · 9 games
Marsoften banned
ILICH- · 8 games
Dark Willow
Yor · 7 games
Leshracsignature
ILICH- · 7 games
Grimstroke
Yor · 5 games
Troll Warlordoften banned
Arms · 5 games
Void Spiritoften banned
PiPi · 5 games
Earth Spirit
Pamplona · 4 games
Arkosh Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
380 picks · 809 bans
Void Spirit
355 picks · 486 bans
Mars
305 picks · 536 bans
Death Prophet
271 picks · 441 bans
Earth Spirit
271 picks · 230 bans
Rubick
249 picks · 148 bans
Keeper of the Light
237 picks · 499 bans
Wraith King
234 picks · 356 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 44%
Hero pool strength55% Infamous
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed18:34
Infamous 55%Arkosh Gaming 45%
The model gave 55% on Infamous — the game was taken by Arkosh Gaming in 29:41.
Game 2prediction missed36:21
Infamous 55%Arkosh Gaming 45%
The model gave 55% on Infamous — the game was taken by Arkosh Gaming in 29:24.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 55%
Series resultInfamous 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2