BTS Pro Series Season 5. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Unknownloss 1:1series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 1:1
simply TOOBASEDloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Unknown
Earth Spirit
Wij · 5 games
Grimstroke
Yadomi · 5 games
Marsoften banned
drakeel · 5 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Berna · 4 games
Puckoften banned
Robo-Z · 4 games
Beastmasteroften banned
drakeel · 3 games
Earthshaker
Wij · 3 games
Enchantressoften banned
Yadomi · 3 games
simply TOOBASED
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
380 picks · 807 bans
Void Spirit
354 picks · 485 bans
Mars
305 picks · 534 bans
Earth Spirit
271 picks · 230 bans
Death Prophet
270 picks · 440 bans
Rubick
249 picks · 148 bans
Keeper of the Light
236 picks · 498 bans
Wraith King
234 picks · 354 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 67%
Hero pool strength56% Team Unknown
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% simply TOOBASED
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct15:40
Team Unknown 45%simply TOOBASED 55%
The model gave 55% on simply TOOBASED — the game was taken by simply TOOBASED in 34:31.
Game 2prediction missed39:25
Team Unknown 45%simply TOOBASED 55%
The model gave 55% on simply TOOBASED — the game was taken by Team Unknown in 34:56.
Model check result
Model favoritesimply TOOBASED · 55%
Accuracy by game1 of 2