BTS Pro Series Season 5. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
SG e-sportswin 2:0series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 2:0
4 Zoomersloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
SG e-sports
No games played over 6 months.
4 Zoomers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
380 picks · 807 bans
Void Spirit
354 picks · 485 bans
Mars
304 picks · 534 bans
Earth Spirit
271 picks · 230 bans
Death Prophet
269 picks · 440 bans
Rubick
249 picks · 148 bans
Keeper of the Light
236 picks · 497 bans
Wraith King
234 picks · 354 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 53%
Hero pool strength50% SG e-sports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% 4 Zoomers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct13:28
SG e-sports 46%4 Zoomers 54%
The model gave 54% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 27:48.
Game 2prediction missed
SG e-sports 46%4 Zoomers 54%
The model gave 54% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by SG e-sports.
Model check result
Model favorite4 Zoomers · 54%
Series resultSG e-sports 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 2