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BTS Pro Series Season 5. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Infamousloss 1:1
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 1:1
The Cutloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infamous

Tusk
Tusksignature
Pamplona · 8 games
75%
Mars
Marsoften banned
ILICH- · 7 games
57%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Yor · 6 games
67%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
ILICH- · 6 games
83%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Yor · 5 games
80%
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordoften banned
Arms · 5 games
80%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
PiPi · 5 games
60%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Pamplona · 4 games
75%

The Cut

Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Lil_Nick · 6 games
50%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
TingleK1ng · 3 games
100%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 3 games
100%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Lil_Nick · 2 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
TingleK1ng · 2 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Lil_Nick · 2 games
100%
Io
Iooften banned
Scourge McDuck · 2 games
50%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 2 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
379 picks · 799 bans
51%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
352 picks · 478 bans
54%
Mars
Mars
301 picks · 529 bans
50%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
271 picks · 228 bans
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
267 picks · 430 bans
56%
Rubick
Rubick
249 picks · 147 bans
51%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light
236 picks · 491 bans
54%
Wraith King
Wraith King
231 picks · 346 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 56%
Hero pool strength52% Infamous
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% The Cut
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:22
Infamous 43%The Cut 57%
The model gave 57% on The Cut — the game was taken by The Cut in 35:56.
Game 2prediction correct18:39
Infamous 43%The Cut 57%
The model gave 57% on The Cut — the game was taken by The Cut in 39:57.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe Cut · 57%
Accuracy by game2 of 2