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BTS Pro Series Season 5. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Unknownloss 0:2
series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 0:2
NoPing VPNwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Unknown

Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Wij · 5 games
80%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Yadomi · 5 games
60%
Mars
Marsoften banned
drakeel · 4 games
50%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Berna · 4 games
100%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
Wij · 3 games
67%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Yadomi · 3 games
100%
Juggernaut
Juggernautoften banned
Berna · 3 games
67%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Wij · 3 games
67%

NoPing VPN

Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Michael · 8 games
50%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Oscar · 8 games
63%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
DarkMago · 7 games
57%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
Matthew · 7 games
86%
Mars
Marssignature
Oscar · 6 games
67%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Michael · 5 games
80%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
hFn · 5 games
80%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Accel · 5 games
80%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
378 picks · 798 bans
51%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
351 picks · 478 bans
54%
Mars
Mars
299 picks · 529 bans
50%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
271 picks · 228 bans
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
267 picks · 428 bans
56%
Rubick
Rubick
249 picks · 147 bans
51%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light
234 picks · 490 bans
54%
Wraith King
Wraith King
230 picks · 346 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 53%
Hero pool strength51% NoPing VPN
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total56% NoPing VPN
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:41
Team Unknown 47%NoPing VPN 53%
The model gave 53% on NoPing VPN — the game was taken by NoPing VPN in 39:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Weaver
WeaverBerna
49% · 36 games56% · 19 games
GyrocopterhFn
Gyrocopter
Void Spirit
Void SpiritRobo-Z
56% · 145 games45% · 64 games
BatriderDarkMago
Batrider
Beastmaster
Beastmasterdrakeel
60% · 70 games44% · 115 games
MarsOscar
Mars
Lion
LionWij
38% · 33 games56% · 79 games
Keeper of the LightMatthew
Keeper of the Light
Undying
UndyingPrada
49% · 49 games41% · 56 games
Crystal MaidenPanda
Crystal Maiden
Game 2prediction correct40:51
Team Unknown 47%NoPing VPN 53%
The model gave 53% on NoPing VPN — the game was taken by NoPing VPN in 48:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Wraith King
Wraith KingBerna
53% · 69 games39% · 74 games
UrsahFn
Ursa
Puck
PuckRobo-Z
53% · 129 games49% · 39 games
Dark SeerOscar
Dark Seer
Mars
Marsdrakeel
47% · 86 games45% · 77 games
BatriderDarkMago
Batrider
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanWij
54% · 72 games44% · 112 games
OraclePanda
Oracle
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightPrada
57% · 80 games58% · 134 games
Nyx AssassinMatthew
Nyx Assassin
Model check result
Model favoriteNoPing VPN · 56%
Series resultNoPing VPN 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2