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BTS Pro Series Season 5. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
5ManMidasloss 0:2
series probability
21%79%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The Cutwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

5ManMidas

No games played over 6 months.

The Cut

Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Lil_Nick · 6 games
50%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
TingleK1ng · 3 games
100%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 3 games
100%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Lil_Nick · 2 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
TingleK1ng · 2 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Lil_Nick · 2 games
100%
Io
Iooften banned
Scourge McDuck · 2 games
50%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 2 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
376 picks · 790 bans
52%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
348 picks · 471 bans
54%
Mars
Mars
299 picks · 524 bans
50%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
270 picks · 227 bans
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
266 picks · 421 bans
56%
Rubick
Rubick
247 picks · 146 bans
51%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light
234 picks · 489 bans
54%
Wraith King
Wraith King
229 picks · 340 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)21% vs 53%
Hero pool strength55% The Cut
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% The Cut
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe Cut · 79%
Series resultThe Cut 0:2
Series predictioncorrect